Jpmorgan International Value Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 57.04
| JIVE Etf | 56.87 0.17 0.30% |
JPMorgan |
JPMorgan International Target Price Odds to finish over 57.04
The tendency of JPMorgan Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 57.04 or more in 90 days |
| 56.87 | 90 days | 57.04 | about 89.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan International to move over 57.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.12 (This JPMorgan International Value probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMorgan International price to stay between its current price of 56.87 and 57.04 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JPMorgan International has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMorgan International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMorgan International Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPMorgan International Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JPMorgan International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JPMorgan International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMorgan International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JPMorgan International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan International Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
JPMorgan International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JPMorgan International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 203.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.68 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Steele Elisa of JPMorgan International subject to Rule 16b-3 |
JPMorgan International Technical Analysis
JPMorgan International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan International Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPMorgan International Predictive Forecast Models
JPMorgan International's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan International's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPMorgan International
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JPMorgan International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 203.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.68 M. | |
| About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Steele Elisa of JPMorgan International subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out JPMorgan International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan International Correlation, JPMorgan International Hype Analysis, JPMorgan International Volatility, JPMorgan International History as well as JPMorgan International Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
The market value of JPMorgan International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.