Jack Henry Associates Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 172.14

JKHY Stock  USD 172.14  0.36  0.21%   
Jack Henry's future price is the expected price of Jack Henry instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jack Henry Associates performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jack Henry Backtesting, Jack Henry Valuation, Jack Henry Correlation, Jack Henry Hype Analysis, Jack Henry Volatility, Jack Henry History as well as Jack Henry Performance.
  
Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 37.27 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.24 in 2024. Please specify Jack Henry's target price for which you would like Jack Henry odds to be computed.

Jack Henry Target Price Odds to finish over 172.14

The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 172.14 90 days 172.14 
about 81.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack Henry to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.21 (This Jack Henry Associates probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jack Henry has a beta of 0.009. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jack Henry average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jack Henry Associates will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jack Henry Associates has an alpha of 0.0627, implying that it can generate a 0.0627 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jack Henry Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jack Henry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack Henry Associates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
171.47172.49173.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
155.25188.13189.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
171.13172.15173.17
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
154.28169.54188.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jack Henry. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jack Henry's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jack Henry's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jack Henry Associates.

Jack Henry Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack Henry is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack Henry's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack Henry Associates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack Henry within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
5.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Jack Henry Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack Henry for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack Henry Associates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of September 2024 Jack Henry paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Jack Henrys executive board chair sells 3.22 million in stock

Jack Henry Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack Henry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack Henry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.3 M

Jack Henry Technical Analysis

Jack Henry's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jack Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jack Henry Associates. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jack Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jack Henry Predictive Forecast Models

Jack Henry's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jack Henry's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jack Henry's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jack Henry Associates

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack Henry for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack Henry Associates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of September 2024 Jack Henry paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Jack Henrys executive board chair sells 3.22 million in stock

Additional Tools for Jack Stock Analysis

When running Jack Henry's price analysis, check to measure Jack Henry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jack Henry is operating at the current time. Most of Jack Henry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jack Henry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jack Henry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jack Henry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.