James Micro Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.19

JMCRX Fund  USD 23.47  0.33  1.43%   
James Micro's future price is the expected price of James Micro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of James Micro Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out James Micro Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, James Micro Correlation, James Micro Hype Analysis, James Micro Volatility, James Micro History as well as James Micro Performance.
  
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James Micro Target Price Odds to finish over 24.19

The tendency of James Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 24.19  or more in 90 days
 23.47 90 days 24.19 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of James Micro to move over $ 24.19  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This James Micro Cap probability density function shows the probability of James Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of James Micro Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 23.47  and $ 24.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.83 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, James Micro will likely underperform. Additionally James Micro Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   James Micro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for James Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as James Micro Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8923.4725.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7123.2924.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0222.6124.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0523.3623.67
Details

James Micro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. James Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the James Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold James Micro Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of James Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

James Micro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of James Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for James Micro Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

James Micro Technical Analysis

James Micro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. James Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of James Micro Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing James Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

James Micro Predictive Forecast Models

James Micro's time-series forecasting models is one of many James Micro's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary James Micro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about James Micro Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about James Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for James Micro Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 11.86% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in James Mutual Fund

James Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether James Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in James with respect to the benefits of owning James Micro security.
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