James Micro Cap Fund Price Prediction
| JMCRX Fund | USD 23.43 0.15 0.64% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using James Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of James Micro Cap from the perspective of James Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in James Micro to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying James because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
James Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 20.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
James |
James Micro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of James Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in James Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of James Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
James Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting James Micro's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on James Micro's historical news coverage. James Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.85 and 25.77, respectively. We have considered James Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
James Micro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of James Micro Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
James Micro Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as James Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading James Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with James Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.10 | 2.48 | 1.00 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.43 | 20.95 | 10.58 |
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James Micro Hype Timeline
James Micro Cap is currently traded for 23.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.0. James is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 8.44%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -10.58%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on James Micro is about 20.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.43. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. James Micro Cap last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out James Micro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.James Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to James Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict James Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how James Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how James Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICHKX | Guinness Atkinson China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.05 | 1.31 | (1.07) | 3.43 | |
| BGRWX | Barrett Growth Fund | 0.42 | 6 per month | 0.26 | 0.11 | 1.14 | (0.88) | 15.46 | |
| CSCVX | Cornercap Small Cap Value | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WSCVX | Walthausen Small Cap | 10.92 | 1 per month | 0.55 | 0.16 | 2.25 | (1.37) | 15.77 | |
| RYBCX | Basic Materials Fund | (54.31) | 2 per month | 0.63 | 0.24 | 2.31 | (1.82) | 14.56 | |
| FSEBX | Fidelity Advisor Sustainability | 8.11 | 2 per month | 0.81 | 0.01 | 1.20 | (1.53) | 3.65 | |
| LVAMX | Lsv Managed Volatility | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.30 | (0.90) | 24.86 | |
| PLBEX | Plumb Equity Fund | (8.28) | 3 per month | 1.16 | (0.05) | 1.71 | (2.05) | 4.47 | |
| EMSLX | Shelton Emerging Markets | (9.70) | 7 per month | 0.21 | 0.17 | 1.64 | (1.63) | 19.22 | |
| ZSCCX | Zacks Small Cap E | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.04 | 1.97 | (1.90) | 5.12 |
James Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine James price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for James using various technical indicators. When you analyze James charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About James Micro Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of James Micro stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as James Micro Cap, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of James Micro based on analysis of James Micro hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to James Micro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to James Micro's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in James Mutual Fund
James Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether James Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in James with respect to the benefits of owning James Micro security.
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