Jumia Technologies Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.21
| JMIA Stock | USD 9.21 0.11 1.18% |
Closest to current price Jumia long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Jumia Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 9.21
The tendency of Jumia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.21 | 90 days | 9.21 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jumia Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Jumia Technologies AG probability density function shows the probability of Jumia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Jumia Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jumia Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jumia Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jumia Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jumia Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jumia Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jumia Technologies AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jumia Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Jumia Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jumia Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jumia Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jumia Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 188.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.61 M. | |
| Jumia Technologies AG currently holds about 284.73 M in cash with (47.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85. | |
| Jumia Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Jumia Technologies Valuation After Q4 2025 Results And Profitability Push |
Jumia Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jumia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jumia Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jumia Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 204 M |
Jumia Technologies Technical Analysis
Jumia Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jumia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jumia Technologies AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jumia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jumia Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Jumia Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Jumia Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jumia Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jumia Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jumia Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jumia Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jumia Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 188.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90.61 M. | |
| Jumia Technologies AG currently holds about 284.73 M in cash with (47.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.85. | |
| Jumia Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Jumia Technologies Valuation After Q4 2025 Results And Profitability Push |
Check out Jumia Technologies Analysis, Jumia Technologies Valuation, Jumia Technologies Correlation, Jumia Technologies Hype Analysis, Jumia Technologies Volatility, Jumia Technologies Price History as well as Jumia Technologies Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jumia Technologies. Expected growth trajectory for Jumia significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Jumia Technologies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.251 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Jumia Technologies's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Jumia's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Jumia Technologies' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Jumia Technologies' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Jumia Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jumia Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Jumia Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.