JSL SA (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.39
| JSLG3 Stock | BRL 6.78 0.11 1.65% |
JSL |
JSL SA Target Price Odds to finish over 7.39
The tendency of JSL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 7.39 or more in 90 days |
| 6.78 | 90 days | 7.39 | about 83.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JSL SA to move over R$ 7.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.17 (This JSL SA probability density function shows the probability of JSL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JSL SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 6.78 and R$ 7.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JSL SA has a beta of 0.55. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JSL SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JSL SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JSL SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JSL SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JSL SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JSL SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JSL SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JSL SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JSL SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JSL SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JSL SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
JSL SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JSL SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JSL SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JSL SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JSL SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JSL SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| JSL SA has accumulated about 103.41 M in cash with (264.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
JSL SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JSL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JSL SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JSL SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 284.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 954.4 M |
JSL SA Technical Analysis
JSL SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JSL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JSL SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing JSL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JSL SA Predictive Forecast Models
JSL SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many JSL SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JSL SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JSL SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about JSL SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JSL SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JSL SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JSL SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JSL SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| JSL SA has accumulated about 103.41 M in cash with (264.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 21.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for JSL Stock Analysis
When running JSL SA's price analysis, check to measure JSL SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JSL SA is operating at the current time. Most of JSL SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JSL SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JSL SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JSL SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.