Jetai Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.79
JTAI Stock | 5.93 0.16 2.63% |
JetAI |
JetAI Target Price Odds to finish below 9.79
The tendency of JetAI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 9.79 after 90 days |
5.93 | 90 days | 9.79 | about 12.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JetAI to stay under 9.79 after 90 days from now is about 12.01 (This JetAI Inc probability density function shows the probability of JetAI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JetAI Inc price to stay between its current price of 5.93 and 9.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.82 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JetAI will likely underperform. Additionally JetAI Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JetAI Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for JetAI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JetAI Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JetAI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JetAI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JetAI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JetAI Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JetAI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.9 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
JetAI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JetAI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JetAI Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.JetAI Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
JetAI Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
JetAI Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
JetAI Inchas 10,856,006 shares shorted by JetAI investors is about 1300% of outstending shares | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 M. | |
JetAI generates negative cash flow from operations | |
JetAI Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jet.AI Signs Agreement on Cessna Citation CJ4 Gen2 Fleet Order from Textron Aviation for ... |
JetAI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JetAI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JetAI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JetAI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
JetAI Technical Analysis
JetAI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JetAI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JetAI Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing JetAI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JetAI Predictive Forecast Models
JetAI's time-series forecasting models is one of many JetAI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JetAI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JetAI Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about JetAI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JetAI Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JetAI Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
JetAI Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
JetAI Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
JetAI Inchas 10,856,006 shares shorted by JetAI investors is about 1300% of outstending shares | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 12.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.06 M. | |
JetAI generates negative cash flow from operations | |
JetAI Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Jet.AI Signs Agreement on Cessna Citation CJ4 Gen2 Fleet Order from Textron Aviation for ... |
Check out JetAI Backtesting, JetAI Valuation, JetAI Correlation, JetAI Hype Analysis, JetAI Volatility, JetAI History as well as JetAI Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JetAI. If investors know JetAI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JetAI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (191.17) | Revenue Per Share 319.908 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 | Return On Assets (2.20) | Return On Equity (31.99) |
The market value of JetAI Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JetAI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JetAI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JetAI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JetAI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JetAI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JetAI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JetAI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JetAI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.