Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.77
| JTH Stock | EUR 12.40 0.20 1.64% |
Gesundheitswelt |
Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau Target Price Odds to finish below 7.77
The tendency of Gesundheitswelt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.77 or more in 90 days |
| 12.40 | 90 days | 7.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau to drop to € 7.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG probability density function shows the probability of Gesundheitswelt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau price to stay between € 7.77 and its current price of €12.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG has a beta of -0.46. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG has an alpha of 0.0652, implying that it can generate a 0.0652 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau Technical Analysis
Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gesundheitswelt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gesundheitswelt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau Predictive Forecast Models
Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau options trading.
Additional Tools for Gesundheitswelt Stock Analysis
When running Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's price analysis, check to measure Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau is operating at the current time. Most of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gesundheitswelt Chiemgau to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.