Coffee Holding Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.49
| JVA Stock | USD 3.63 0.24 7.08% |
Coffee |
Coffee Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 1.49
The tendency of Coffee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.49 in 90 days |
| 3.63 | 90 days | 1.49 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coffee Holding to stay above $ 1.49 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Coffee Holding Co probability density function shows the probability of Coffee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coffee Holding price to stay between $ 1.49 and its current price of $3.63 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.52 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Coffee Holding will likely underperform. Additionally Coffee Holding Co has an alpha of 0.6371, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Coffee Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coffee Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coffee Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coffee Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coffee Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coffee Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coffee Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coffee Holding Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coffee Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Coffee Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coffee Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coffee Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coffee Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Coffee Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 68.17 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (835.58 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 11.01 M. | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Coffee Holding Co. Acquires Empire Coffee Assets - TipRanks |
Coffee Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coffee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coffee Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coffee Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Coffee Holding Technical Analysis
Coffee Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coffee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coffee Holding Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coffee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coffee Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Coffee Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coffee Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coffee Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coffee Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coffee Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coffee Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coffee Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Coffee Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 68.17 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (835.58 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 11.01 M. | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Coffee Holding Co. Acquires Empire Coffee Assets - TipRanks |
Check out Coffee Holding Backtesting, Coffee Holding Valuation, Coffee Holding Correlation, Coffee Holding Hype Analysis, Coffee Holding Volatility, Coffee Holding History as well as Coffee Holding Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coffee Holding. If investors know Coffee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coffee Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share 13.333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.193 | Return On Assets 0.0264 |
The market value of Coffee Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coffee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coffee Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coffee Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coffee Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coffee Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coffee Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coffee Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coffee Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.