Kakel Max (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.63

KAKEL Stock  SEK 9.80  0.15  1.51%   
Kakel Max's future price is the expected price of Kakel Max instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kakel Max AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kakel Max Backtesting, Kakel Max Valuation, Kakel Max Correlation, Kakel Max Hype Analysis, Kakel Max Volatility, Kakel Max History as well as Kakel Max Performance.
  
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Kakel Max Target Price Odds to finish over 9.63

The tendency of Kakel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 9.63  in 90 days
 9.80 90 days 9.63 
about 88.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kakel Max to stay above kr 9.63  in 90 days from now is about 88.94 (This Kakel Max AB probability density function shows the probability of Kakel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kakel Max AB price to stay between kr 9.63  and its current price of kr9.8 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kakel Max AB has a beta of -0.29. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kakel Max are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kakel Max AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kakel Max AB has an alpha of 0.1578, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kakel Max Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kakel Max

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kakel Max AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.249.8013.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.208.7612.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.829.3812.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.729.9610.21
Details

Kakel Max Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kakel Max is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kakel Max's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kakel Max AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kakel Max within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Kakel Max Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kakel Max for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kakel Max AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakel Max AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kakel Max Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kakel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kakel Max's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kakel Max's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 M

Kakel Max Technical Analysis

Kakel Max's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kakel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kakel Max AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kakel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kakel Max Predictive Forecast Models

Kakel Max's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kakel Max's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kakel Max's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kakel Max AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kakel Max for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kakel Max AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kakel Max AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Kakel Stock Analysis

When running Kakel Max's price analysis, check to measure Kakel Max's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kakel Max is operating at the current time. Most of Kakel Max's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kakel Max's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kakel Max's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kakel Max to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.