Kaanapali Land Llc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 42.5

KANP Stock  USD 42.00  0.00  0.00%   
Kaanapali Land's future price is the expected price of Kaanapali Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kaanapali Land LLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kaanapali Land Backtesting, Kaanapali Land Valuation, Kaanapali Land Correlation, Kaanapali Land Hype Analysis, Kaanapali Land Volatility, Kaanapali Land History as well as Kaanapali Land Performance.
  
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Kaanapali Land Target Price Odds to finish below 42.5

The tendency of Kaanapali Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 42.50  after 90 days
 42.00 90 days 42.50 
about 30.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaanapali Land to stay under $ 42.50  after 90 days from now is about 30.79 (This Kaanapali Land LLC probability density function shows the probability of Kaanapali Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kaanapali Land LLC price to stay between its current price of $ 42.00  and $ 42.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kaanapali Land has a beta of 0.0715. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kaanapali Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kaanapali Land LLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kaanapali Land LLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kaanapali Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kaanapali Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaanapali Land LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.2042.0042.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7042.4943.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.2342.0342.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.0042.0042.00
Details

Kaanapali Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaanapali Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaanapali Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaanapali Land LLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaanapali Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Kaanapali Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaanapali Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaanapali Land LLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaanapali Land LLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (306 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (641 K).
Kaanapali Land LLC currently holds about 21.92 M in cash with (988 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.88.
Roughly 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kaanapali Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaanapali Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaanapali Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaanapali Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17 M

Kaanapali Land Technical Analysis

Kaanapali Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kaanapali Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kaanapali Land LLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kaanapali Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kaanapali Land Predictive Forecast Models

Kaanapali Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kaanapali Land's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kaanapali Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kaanapali Land LLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaanapali Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaanapali Land LLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaanapali Land LLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (306 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (641 K).
Kaanapali Land LLC currently holds about 21.92 M in cash with (988 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.88.
Roughly 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Kaanapali Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Kaanapali Land's price analysis, check to measure Kaanapali Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaanapali Land is operating at the current time. Most of Kaanapali Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaanapali Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaanapali Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaanapali Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.