Thonburi Medical (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 93.48

KDH Stock  THB 97.00  1.25  1.31%   
Thonburi Medical's future price is the expected price of Thonburi Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thonburi Medical Centre performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thonburi Medical Backtesting, Thonburi Medical Valuation, Thonburi Medical Correlation, Thonburi Medical Hype Analysis, Thonburi Medical Volatility, Thonburi Medical History as well as Thonburi Medical Performance.
  
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Thonburi Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 93.48

The tendency of Thonburi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  93.48  in 90 days
 97.00 90 days 93.48 
about 38.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thonburi Medical to stay above  93.48  in 90 days from now is about 38.72 (This Thonburi Medical Centre probability density function shows the probability of Thonburi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thonburi Medical Centre price to stay between  93.48  and its current price of 97.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Thonburi Medical Centre has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thonburi Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thonburi Medical Centre is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thonburi Medical Centre has an alpha of 0.1219, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Thonburi Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thonburi Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thonburi Medical Centre. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.8597.009,797
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.1362.629,763
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.8190.72216.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.4096.5897.76
Details

Thonburi Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thonburi Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thonburi Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thonburi Medical Centre, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thonburi Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
15.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Thonburi Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thonburi Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thonburi Medical Centre can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thonburi Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thonburi Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Thonburi Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thonburi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thonburi Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thonburi Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M

Thonburi Medical Technical Analysis

Thonburi Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thonburi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thonburi Medical Centre. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thonburi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thonburi Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Thonburi Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thonburi Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thonburi Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thonburi Medical Centre

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thonburi Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thonburi Medical Centre help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thonburi Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Thonburi Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Thonburi Stock

Thonburi Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thonburi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thonburi with respect to the benefits of owning Thonburi Medical security.