Kewaunee Scientific Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.43
| KEQU Stock | USD 42.83 1.61 3.91% |
Kewaunee |
Kewaunee Scientific Target Price Odds to finish below 33.43
The tendency of Kewaunee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 33.43 or more in 90 days |
| 42.83 | 90 days | 33.43 | about 22.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kewaunee Scientific to drop to $ 33.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.42 (This Kewaunee Scientific probability density function shows the probability of Kewaunee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kewaunee Scientific price to stay between $ 33.43 and its current price of $42.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kewaunee Scientific has a beta of 0.68. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kewaunee Scientific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kewaunee Scientific will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kewaunee Scientific has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kewaunee Scientific Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kewaunee Scientific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kewaunee Scientific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kewaunee Scientific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kewaunee Scientific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kewaunee Scientific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kewaunee Scientific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kewaunee Scientific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0072 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Kewaunee Scientific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kewaunee Scientific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kewaunee Scientific can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kewaunee Scientific had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kewaunee Scientific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kewaunee Scientific has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 1907 shares by Ryan Noble of Kewaunee Scientific subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Kewaunee Scientific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kewaunee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kewaunee Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kewaunee Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.3 M |
Kewaunee Scientific Technical Analysis
Kewaunee Scientific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kewaunee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kewaunee Scientific. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kewaunee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kewaunee Scientific Predictive Forecast Models
Kewaunee Scientific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kewaunee Scientific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kewaunee Scientific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kewaunee Scientific
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kewaunee Scientific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kewaunee Scientific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kewaunee Scientific had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Kewaunee Scientific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kewaunee Scientific has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 1907 shares by Ryan Noble of Kewaunee Scientific subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Kewaunee Stock Analysis
When running Kewaunee Scientific's price analysis, check to measure Kewaunee Scientific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kewaunee Scientific is operating at the current time. Most of Kewaunee Scientific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kewaunee Scientific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kewaunee Scientific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kewaunee Scientific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.