Kid ASA (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.10

KID Stock  NOK 124.40  2.80  2.30%   
Kid ASA's future price is the expected price of Kid ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kid ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kid ASA Backtesting, Kid ASA Valuation, Kid ASA Correlation, Kid ASA Hype Analysis, Kid ASA Volatility, Kid ASA History as well as Kid ASA Performance.
  
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Kid ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 72.10

The tendency of Kid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  72.10  or more in 90 days
 124.40 90 days 72.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kid ASA to drop to  72.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kid ASA probability density function shows the probability of Kid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kid ASA price to stay between  72.10  and its current price of 124.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kid ASA has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kid ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kid ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kid ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kid ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kid ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kid ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.29124.40126.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.90102.01136.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.94125.05127.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
120.83123.47126.11
Details

Kid ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kid ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kid ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kid ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kid ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
9.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Kid ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kid ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kid ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kid ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kid ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kid ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kid ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kid ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments239.6 M

Kid ASA Technical Analysis

Kid ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kid Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kid ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kid Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kid ASA Predictive Forecast Models

Kid ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kid ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kid ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kid ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kid ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kid ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kid ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kid ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kid Stock

Kid ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kid Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kid with respect to the benefits of owning Kid ASA security.