Kiatnakin Phatra (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.75

KKP Stock  THB 51.75  0.75  1.43%   
Kiatnakin Phatra's future price is the expected price of Kiatnakin Phatra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kiatnakin Phatra Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kiatnakin Phatra Backtesting, Kiatnakin Phatra Valuation, Kiatnakin Phatra Correlation, Kiatnakin Phatra Hype Analysis, Kiatnakin Phatra Volatility, Kiatnakin Phatra History as well as Kiatnakin Phatra Performance.
  
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Kiatnakin Phatra Target Price Odds to finish over 51.75

The tendency of Kiatnakin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.75 90 days 51.75 
about 31.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kiatnakin Phatra to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.74 (This Kiatnakin Phatra Bank probability density function shows the probability of Kiatnakin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kiatnakin Phatra Bank has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kiatnakin Phatra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kiatnakin Phatra Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kiatnakin Phatra Bank has an alpha of 0.3666, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kiatnakin Phatra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kiatnakin Phatra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kiatnakin Phatra Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9251.7553.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7450.5752.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.1150.9552.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.9153.0255.13
Details

Kiatnakin Phatra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kiatnakin Phatra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kiatnakin Phatra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kiatnakin Phatra Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kiatnakin Phatra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Kiatnakin Phatra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kiatnakin Phatra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kiatnakin Phatra Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kiatnakin Phatra Bank has accumulated about 5.49 B in cash with (57 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.49.
Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kiatnakin Phatra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kiatnakin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kiatnakin Phatra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kiatnakin Phatra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding846.8 M

Kiatnakin Phatra Technical Analysis

Kiatnakin Phatra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kiatnakin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kiatnakin Phatra Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kiatnakin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kiatnakin Phatra Predictive Forecast Models

Kiatnakin Phatra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kiatnakin Phatra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kiatnakin Phatra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kiatnakin Phatra Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kiatnakin Phatra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kiatnakin Phatra Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kiatnakin Phatra Bank has accumulated about 5.49 B in cash with (57 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.49.
Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kiatnakin Stock

Kiatnakin Phatra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kiatnakin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kiatnakin with respect to the benefits of owning Kiatnakin Phatra security.