KASPIKZ (SPGDR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 107.12

KKS Stock  EUR 98.00  0.50  0.51%   
KASPIKZ (SPGDR's future price is the expected price of KASPIKZ (SPGDR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KASPIKZ 1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KASPIKZ (SPGDR Backtesting, KASPIKZ (SPGDR Valuation, KASPIKZ (SPGDR Correlation, KASPIKZ (SPGDR Hype Analysis, KASPIKZ (SPGDR Volatility, KASPIKZ (SPGDR History as well as KASPIKZ (SPGDR Performance.
  
Please specify KASPIKZ (SPGDR's target price for which you would like KASPIKZ (SPGDR odds to be computed.

KASPIKZ (SPGDR Target Price Odds to finish over 107.12

The tendency of KASPIKZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 107.12  or more in 90 days
 98.00 90 days 107.12 
about 17.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KASPIKZ (SPGDR to move over € 107.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.69 (This KASPIKZ 1 probability density function shows the probability of KASPIKZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KASPIKZ (SPGDR price to stay between its current price of € 98.00  and € 107.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KASPIKZ 1 has a beta of -0.59. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KASPIKZ (SPGDR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KASPIKZ 1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KASPIKZ 1 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KASPIKZ (SPGDR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KASPIKZ (SPGDR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KASPIKZ (SPGDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.7798.00101.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.5282.75107.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.72100.95104.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.3998.3399.28
Details

KASPIKZ (SPGDR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KASPIKZ (SPGDR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KASPIKZ (SPGDR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KASPIKZ 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KASPIKZ (SPGDR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.59
σ
Overall volatility
7.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

KASPIKZ (SPGDR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KASPIKZ (SPGDR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KASPIKZ (SPGDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KASPIKZ (SPGDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KASPIKZ (SPGDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance

KASPIKZ (SPGDR Technical Analysis

KASPIKZ (SPGDR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KASPIKZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KASPIKZ 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing KASPIKZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KASPIKZ (SPGDR Predictive Forecast Models

KASPIKZ (SPGDR's time-series forecasting models is one of many KASPIKZ (SPGDR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KASPIKZ (SPGDR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KASPIKZ (SPGDR

Checking the ongoing alerts about KASPIKZ (SPGDR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KASPIKZ (SPGDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KASPIKZ (SPGDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
KASPIKZ (SPGDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in KASPIKZ Stock

KASPIKZ (SPGDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether KASPIKZ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KASPIKZ with respect to the benefits of owning KASPIKZ (SPGDR security.