Killbuck Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 111.90
| KLIB Stock | USD 110.50 0.50 0.45% |
Killbuck |
Killbuck Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over 111.90
The tendency of Killbuck Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 111.90 or more in 90 days |
| 110.50 | 90 days | 111.90 | about 49.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Killbuck Bancshares to move over $ 111.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 49.08 (This Killbuck Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Killbuck Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Killbuck Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 110.50 and $ 111.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.66 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Killbuck Bancshares has a beta of -0.37. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Killbuck Bancshares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Killbuck Bancshares is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Killbuck Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0589, implying that it can generate a 0.0589 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Killbuck Bancshares Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Killbuck Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Killbuck Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Killbuck Bancshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Killbuck Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Killbuck Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Killbuck Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Killbuck Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Killbuck Bancshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Killbuck Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Killbuck Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Killbuck Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Killbuck Bancshares Technical Analysis
Killbuck Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Killbuck Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Killbuck Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Killbuck Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Killbuck Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models
Killbuck Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Killbuck Bancshares' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Killbuck Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Killbuck Bancshares in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Killbuck Bancshares' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Killbuck Bancshares options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Killbuck Pink Sheet
Killbuck Bancshares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Killbuck Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Killbuck with respect to the benefits of owning Killbuck Bancshares security.