IKloukinas ILappas (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.63

KLM Stock  EUR 1.47  0.02  1.38%   
IKloukinas ILappas' future price is the expected price of IKloukinas ILappas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IKloukinas ILappas SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IKloukinas ILappas Backtesting, IKloukinas ILappas Valuation, IKloukinas ILappas Correlation, IKloukinas ILappas Hype Analysis, IKloukinas ILappas Volatility, IKloukinas ILappas History as well as IKloukinas ILappas Performance.
  
Please specify IKloukinas ILappas' target price for which you would like IKloukinas ILappas odds to be computed.

IKloukinas ILappas Target Price Odds to finish over 1.63

The tendency of IKloukinas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.63  or more in 90 days
 1.47 90 days 1.63 
about 10.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IKloukinas ILappas to move over € 1.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.17 (This IKloukinas ILappas SA probability density function shows the probability of IKloukinas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IKloukinas ILappas price to stay between its current price of € 1.47  and € 1.63  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IKloukinas ILappas SA has a beta of -0.73. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IKloukinas ILappas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IKloukinas ILappas SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IKloukinas ILappas SA has an alpha of 0.0211, implying that it can generate a 0.0211 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IKloukinas ILappas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IKloukinas ILappas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IKloukinas ILappas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.473.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.273.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.473.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.431.461.49
Details

IKloukinas ILappas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IKloukinas ILappas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IKloukinas ILappas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IKloukinas ILappas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IKloukinas ILappas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

IKloukinas ILappas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IKloukinas ILappas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IKloukinas ILappas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IKloukinas ILappas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IKloukinas ILappas may become a speculative penny stock
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

IKloukinas ILappas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IKloukinas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IKloukinas ILappas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IKloukinas ILappas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40.2 M
Dividends Paid765.4 K
Short Long Term Debt1.7 M

IKloukinas ILappas Technical Analysis

IKloukinas ILappas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IKloukinas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IKloukinas ILappas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing IKloukinas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IKloukinas ILappas Predictive Forecast Models

IKloukinas ILappas' time-series forecasting models is one of many IKloukinas ILappas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IKloukinas ILappas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IKloukinas ILappas

Checking the ongoing alerts about IKloukinas ILappas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IKloukinas ILappas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IKloukinas ILappas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
IKloukinas ILappas may become a speculative penny stock
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for IKloukinas Stock Analysis

When running IKloukinas ILappas' price analysis, check to measure IKloukinas ILappas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IKloukinas ILappas is operating at the current time. Most of IKloukinas ILappas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IKloukinas ILappas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IKloukinas ILappas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IKloukinas ILappas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.