Kinder Morgan (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 168.38

KMIC34 Stock  BRL 160.48  0.00  0.00%   
Kinder Morgan's future price is the expected price of Kinder Morgan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kinder Morgan Kansas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kinder Morgan Backtesting, Kinder Morgan Valuation, Kinder Morgan Correlation, Kinder Morgan Hype Analysis, Kinder Morgan Volatility, Kinder Morgan History as well as Kinder Morgan Performance.
For information on how to trade Kinder Stock refer to our How to Trade Kinder Stock guide.
  
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Kinder Morgan Target Price Odds to finish below 168.38

The tendency of Kinder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under R$ 168.38  after 90 days
 160.48 90 days 168.38 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinder Morgan to stay under R$ 168.38  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kinder Morgan Kansas probability density function shows the probability of Kinder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinder Morgan Kansas price to stay between its current price of R$ 160.48  and R$ 168.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinder Morgan Kansas has a beta of -0.0475. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kinder Morgan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kinder Morgan Kansas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kinder Morgan Kansas has an alpha of 0.5, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kinder Morgan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kinder Morgan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinder Morgan Kansas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
159.08160.48161.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.79133.19176.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
166.99168.38169.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
160.48160.48160.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kinder Morgan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kinder Morgan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kinder Morgan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kinder Morgan Kansas.

Kinder Morgan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinder Morgan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinder Morgan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinder Morgan Kansas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinder Morgan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
14.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.27

Kinder Morgan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinder Morgan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinder Morgan Kansas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinder Morgan Kansas has accumulated 30.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kinder Morgan Kansas has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinder Morgan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinder Morgan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinder Morgan Kansas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinder to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinder Morgan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Kinder Morgan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinder Morgan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinder Morgan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Kinder Morgan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinder Morgan Kansas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kinder Morgan Predictive Forecast Models

Kinder Morgan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinder Morgan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinder Morgan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kinder Morgan Kansas

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinder Morgan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinder Morgan Kansas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinder Morgan Kansas has accumulated 30.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kinder Morgan Kansas has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kinder Morgan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kinder Morgan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kinder Morgan Kansas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kinder to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kinder Morgan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kinder Stock

Kinder Morgan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinder Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinder with respect to the benefits of owning Kinder Morgan security.