Kion Group Ag Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 33.10

KNNGF Stock  USD 34.20  3.40  9.04%   
KION GROUP's future price is the expected price of KION GROUP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KION GROUP AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KION GROUP Backtesting, KION GROUP Valuation, KION GROUP Correlation, KION GROUP Hype Analysis, KION GROUP Volatility, KION GROUP History as well as KION GROUP Performance.
  
Please specify KION GROUP's target price for which you would like KION GROUP odds to be computed.

KION GROUP Target Price Odds to finish below 33.10

The tendency of KION OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 33.10  or more in 90 days
 34.20 90 days 33.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KION GROUP to drop to $ 33.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KION GROUP AG probability density function shows the probability of KION OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KION GROUP AG price to stay between $ 33.10  and its current price of $34.2 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon KION GROUP has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KION GROUP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KION GROUP AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KION GROUP AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   KION GROUP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KION GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KION GROUP AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.2734.2036.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1135.0436.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.7132.6434.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.2034.2034.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KION GROUP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KION GROUP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KION GROUP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KION GROUP AG.

KION GROUP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KION GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KION GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KION GROUP AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KION GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

KION GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KION GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KION GROUP AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KION GROUP AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

KION GROUP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KION OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KION GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KION GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.1 M

KION GROUP Technical Analysis

KION GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KION OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KION GROUP AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing KION OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KION GROUP Predictive Forecast Models

KION GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many KION GROUP's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KION GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KION GROUP AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about KION GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KION GROUP AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
KION GROUP AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in KION OTC Stock

KION GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether KION OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KION with respect to the benefits of owning KION GROUP security.