Coca Cola (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1303.97

KO Stock  MXN 1,304  5.03  0.38%   
Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Coca Cola performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
  
Please specify Coca Cola's target price for which you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 1303.97

The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,304 90 days 1,304 
about 85.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.73 (This The Coca Cola probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.0841. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Coca Cola will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Coca Cola has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3081,3091,310
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2761,2771,440
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3341,3361,337
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2471,2861,325
Details

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Coca Cola, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0071
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
49.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Coca Cola has accumulated 38.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 228.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Coca Cola has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Coca Cola until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Coca Cola's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Coca Cola sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Coca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Coca Cola's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 72.0% of Coca Cola shares are owned by institutional investors

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Coca Cola. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coca Cola

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Coca Cola has accumulated 38.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 228.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Coca Cola has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Coca Cola until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Coca Cola's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Coca Cola sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Coca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Coca Cola's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 72.0% of Coca Cola shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Coca Stock Analysis

When running Coca Cola's price analysis, check to measure Coca Cola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca Cola is operating at the current time. Most of Coca Cola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca Cola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca Cola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca Cola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.