Coca Cola Femsa Sab Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.14

KOF Stock  USD 77.92  0.07  0.09%   
Coca Cola's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Coca Cola Femsa SAB. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Coca Cola based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Coca Cola Femsa SAB over a specific time period. For example, KOF Option Call 20-12-2024 80 is a CALL option contract on Coca Cola's common stock with a strick price of 80.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-21 at 14:09:49 for $1.1 and, as of today, has 28 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 22nd of November is 28.0. View All Coca options

Closest to current price Coca long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coca Cola Femsa SAB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
  
At this time, Coca Cola's Price Book Value Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Coca Cola's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.03, while Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to decrease to 13.92. Please specify Coca Cola's target price for which you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 77.14

The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 77.14  in 90 days
 77.92 90 days 77.14 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to stay above $ 77.14  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Coca Cola Femsa SAB probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola Femsa price to stay between $ 77.14  and its current price of $77.92 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coca Cola Femsa SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coca Cola Femsa SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola Femsa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.1277.4878.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.2377.5978.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.3275.6877.04
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.7792.06102.19
Details

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola Femsa SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca Cola Femsa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola Femsa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola Femsa has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 25th of October 2024 Coca Cola paid $ 0.7811 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: La solucin integral de viajes y gastos de Mendel marca un nuevo referente para las empresas de Latinoamrica

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding210.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.1 B

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola Femsa SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coca Cola Femsa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca Cola Femsa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coca Cola Femsa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coca Cola Femsa has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 25th of October 2024 Coca Cola paid $ 0.7811 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: La solucin integral de viajes y gastos de Mendel marca un nuevo referente para las empresas de Latinoamrica
When determining whether Coca Cola Femsa is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coca Cola's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coca Cola's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coca Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. If investors know Coca will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coca Cola listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.094
Dividend Share
60.8
Earnings Share
1.11
Revenue Per Share
1.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
The market value of Coca Cola Femsa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coca Cola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coca Cola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coca Cola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coca Cola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.