Coca Cola Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| KOF Stock | USD 104.29 0.28 0.27% |
Coca Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Coca Cola's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Coca Cola's stock price is roughly 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coca, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.008 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9703 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.0474 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.961 | Wall Street Target Price 103.7607 |
Using Coca Cola hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coca Cola Femsa SAB from the perspective of Coca Cola response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Coca Cola using Coca Cola's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Coca using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Coca Cola's stock price.
Coca Cola Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Coca Cola's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Coca. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Coca Cola stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 90.652 | Short Percent 0.0044 | Short Ratio 4.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 429 K | 50 Day MA 95.2012 |
Coca Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola Femsa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 104.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.94.Coca Cola Femsa Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Coca Cola's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Coca. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Coca can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Coca Cola Femsa SAB. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Coca Cola's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Coca Cola.
Coca Cola Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Coca Cola's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Coca Cola Femsa SAB stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coca Cola's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coca Cola stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coca Cola's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola Femsa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 104.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.94. Coca Cola after-hype prediction price | USD 104.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Coca contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Coca Cola Femsa SAB will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Coca Cola trading at USD 104.29, that is roughly USD 0.0241 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Coca Cola's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Coca Cola Femsa SAB options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Coca Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Coca Cola's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Coca Cola's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Coca Cola stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Coca Cola's open interest, investors have to compare it to Coca Cola's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Coca Cola is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Coca. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Coca Cola Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coca Cola Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola Femsa SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 104.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.15, mean absolute percentage error of 2.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca Cola's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coca Cola Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coca Cola | Coca Cola Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Coca Cola Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coca Cola's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca Cola's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 102.76 and 105.52, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca Cola stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca Cola stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1924 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1515 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.9371 |
Predictive Modules for Coca Cola
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola Femsa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coca Cola After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coca Cola at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coca Cola or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coca Cola, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coca Cola Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coca Cola's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coca Cola's historical news coverage. Coca Cola's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 102.91 and 105.67, respectively. We have considered Coca Cola's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coca Cola is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coca Cola Femsa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coca Cola Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coca Cola is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coca Cola backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coca Cola, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.38 | 0.03 | 0.35 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
104.29 | 104.29 | 0.00 |
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Coca Cola Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Coca Cola Femsa is traded for 104.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Coca is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coca Cola is about 138.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.64. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Coca Cola was now reported as 39.17. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2025. Coca Cola Femsa had 3:1 split on the 28th of January 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections.Coca Cola Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coca Cola's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coca Cola's future price movements. Getting to know how Coca Cola's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coca Cola may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMX | Fomento Economico Mexicano | (1.73) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.09 | 2.37 | (1.88) | 7.81 | |
| TSN | Tyson Foods | 0.55 | 11 per month | 1.10 | 0.20 | 3.17 | (2.03) | 8.77 | |
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | 2.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.33 | (5.38) | 25.40 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 2.24 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.14 | 3.53 | (2.25) | 9.33 | |
| USFD | US Foods Holding | 2.13 | 21 per month | 1.08 | 0.09 | 3.31 | (2.02) | 10.44 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | 0.55 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.52 | (2.42) | 10.75 | |
| BG | Bunge Limited | 0.55 | 12 per month | 0.83 | 0.15 | 3.20 | (1.84) | 6.25 | |
| SGI | Somnigroup International | 2.13 | 18 per month | 1.54 | 0.04 | 2.56 | (2.47) | 15.47 | |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group | 0.42 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.82 | (2.32) | 7.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coca Cola
For every potential investor in Coca, whether a beginner or expert, Coca Cola's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca Cola's price trends.Coca Cola Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca Cola stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca Cola could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca Cola by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coca Cola Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca Cola stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca Cola shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca Cola stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola Femsa SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coca Cola Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coca Cola's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca Cola's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9868 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9737 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coca Cola
The number of cover stories for Coca Cola depends on current market conditions and Coca Cola's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coca Cola is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coca Cola's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Coca Cola Short Properties
Coca Cola's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coca Cola's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coca Cola Femsa SAB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.8 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca Cola to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Can Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages industry sustain growth momentum? Does Coca have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. Expected growth trajectory for Coca significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Coca Cola demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.008 | Dividend Share 73.6 | Earnings Share 2.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
Investors evaluate Coca Cola Femsa using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Coca Cola's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Coca Cola's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Coca Cola's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Coca Cola represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Coca Cola's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.