Kotak Mahindra (India) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 535.18

KOTAKBKETF   535.18  0.68  0.13%   
Kotak Mahindra's future price is the expected price of Kotak Mahindra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kotak Mahindra Mutual performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kotak Mahindra Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kotak Mahindra Correlation, Kotak Mahindra Hype Analysis, Kotak Mahindra Volatility, Kotak Mahindra History as well as Kotak Mahindra Performance.
  
Please specify Kotak Mahindra's target price for which you would like Kotak Mahindra odds to be computed.

Kotak Mahindra Target Price Odds to finish over 535.18

The tendency of Kotak Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 535.18 90 days 535.18 
about 37.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kotak Mahindra to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.56 (This Kotak Mahindra Mutual probability density function shows the probability of Kotak Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kotak Mahindra has a beta of 0.07. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kotak Mahindra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kotak Mahindra Mutual will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kotak Mahindra Mutual has an alpha of 0.0124, implying that it can generate a 0.0124 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kotak Mahindra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kotak Mahindra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kotak Mahindra Mutual. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
534.19535.18536.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
532.01533.00588.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
538.27539.26540.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
516.14529.13542.12
Details

Kotak Mahindra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kotak Mahindra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kotak Mahindra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kotak Mahindra Mutual, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kotak Mahindra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
10.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Kotak Mahindra Technical Analysis

Kotak Mahindra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kotak Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kotak Mahindra Mutual. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kotak Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kotak Mahindra Predictive Forecast Models

Kotak Mahindra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kotak Mahindra's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kotak Mahindra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kotak Mahindra in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kotak Mahindra's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kotak Mahindra options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Kotak Etf

Kotak Mahindra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kotak Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kotak with respect to the benefits of owning Kotak Mahindra security.