Kreditbanken (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4759.5

KRE Stock  DKK 4,980  70.00  1.39%   
Kreditbanken's future price is the expected price of Kreditbanken instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kreditbanken AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kreditbanken Backtesting, Kreditbanken Valuation, Kreditbanken Correlation, Kreditbanken Hype Analysis, Kreditbanken Volatility, Kreditbanken History as well as Kreditbanken Performance.
  
Please specify Kreditbanken's target price for which you would like Kreditbanken odds to be computed.

Kreditbanken Target Price Odds to finish below 4759.5

The tendency of Kreditbanken Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 4,760  or more in 90 days
 4,980 90 days 4,760 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kreditbanken to drop to kr 4,760  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kreditbanken AS probability density function shows the probability of Kreditbanken Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kreditbanken AS price to stay between kr 4,760  and its current price of kr4980.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kreditbanken AS has a beta of -0.0434. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kreditbanken are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kreditbanken AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kreditbanken AS has an alpha of 9.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 9.06E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kreditbanken Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kreditbanken

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kreditbanken AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9794,9804,981
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,7584,7605,478
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,0155,0165,017
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,9415,0305,120
Details

Kreditbanken Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kreditbanken is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kreditbanken's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kreditbanken AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kreditbanken within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0009
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
42.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Kreditbanken Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kreditbanken for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kreditbanken AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kreditbanken AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kreditbanken AS has accumulated about 66.49 M in cash with (259.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 395.14.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kreditbanken Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kreditbanken Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kreditbanken's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kreditbanken's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.2 K
Cash And Short Term Investments846.9 M

Kreditbanken Technical Analysis

Kreditbanken's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kreditbanken Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kreditbanken AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kreditbanken Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kreditbanken Predictive Forecast Models

Kreditbanken's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kreditbanken's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kreditbanken's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kreditbanken AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kreditbanken for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kreditbanken AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kreditbanken AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kreditbanken AS has accumulated about 66.49 M in cash with (259.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 395.14.
Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kreditbanken Stock

Kreditbanken financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kreditbanken Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kreditbanken with respect to the benefits of owning Kreditbanken security.