Kratos Defense Security Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.16
| KTOS Stock | USD 26.63 0.39 1.49% |
Kratos |
Kratos Defense Target Price Odds to finish below 16.16
The tendency of Kratos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.16 or more in 90 days |
| 26.63 | 90 days | 16.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kratos Defense to drop to $ 16.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kratos Defense Security probability density function shows the probability of Kratos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kratos Defense Security price to stay between $ 16.16 and its current price of $26.63 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.54 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kratos Defense will likely underperform. Additionally Kratos Defense Security has an alpha of 0.1524, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kratos Defense Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kratos Defense
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kratos Defense Security. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kratos Defense Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kratos Defense is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kratos Defense's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kratos Defense Security, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kratos Defense within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Kratos Defense Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kratos Defense for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kratos Defense Security can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226 M. | |
| Kratos Defense has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Resource Wars China and America Battle for Antimony as Prices Surge 200 |
Kratos Defense Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kratos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kratos Defense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kratos Defense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.8 M |
Kratos Defense Technical Analysis
Kratos Defense's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kratos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kratos Defense Security. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kratos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kratos Defense Predictive Forecast Models
Kratos Defense's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kratos Defense's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kratos Defense's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kratos Defense Security
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kratos Defense for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kratos Defense Security help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226 M. | |
| Kratos Defense has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Resource Wars China and America Battle for Antimony as Prices Surge 200 |
Additional Tools for Kratos Stock Analysis
When running Kratos Defense's price analysis, check to measure Kratos Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kratos Defense is operating at the current time. Most of Kratos Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kratos Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kratos Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kratos Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.