Kuke Music Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.35
| KUKE Stock | USD 0.36 0.03 9.09% |
Kuke |
Kuke Music Target Price Odds to finish below 0.35
The tendency of Kuke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.35 or more in 90 days |
| 0.36 | 90 days | 0.35 | about 9.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kuke Music to drop to $ 0.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.44 (This Kuke Music Holding probability density function shows the probability of Kuke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kuke Music Holding price to stay between $ 0.35 and its current price of $0.36 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kuke Music has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kuke Music average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kuke Music Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kuke Music Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kuke Music Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kuke Music
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuke Music Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kuke Music Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kuke Music is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kuke Music's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kuke Music Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kuke Music within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Kuke Music Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kuke Music for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kuke Music Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kuke Music Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kuke Music Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kuke Music Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kuke Music Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 106.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Kuke Music Holding currently holds about 18.83 M in cash with (20.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kuke Music Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kuke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kuke Music's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kuke Music's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.3 M |
Kuke Music Technical Analysis
Kuke Music's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kuke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kuke Music Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kuke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kuke Music Predictive Forecast Models
Kuke Music's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kuke Music's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kuke Music's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kuke Music Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kuke Music for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kuke Music Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kuke Music Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kuke Music Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kuke Music Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kuke Music Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 106.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Kuke Music Holding currently holds about 18.83 M in cash with (20.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
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Is Personal Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kuke Music. If investors know Kuke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kuke Music listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kuke Music Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kuke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kuke Music's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kuke Music's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kuke Music's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kuke Music's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kuke Music's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kuke Music is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kuke Music's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.