Kwesst Micro Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| KWE Stock | 0.85 0.08 10.39% |
KWESST |
KWESST Micro Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of KWESST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.85 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KWESST Micro to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KWESST Micro Systems probability density function shows the probability of KWESST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KWESST Micro Systems price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.77 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon KWESST Micro Systems has a beta of -1.35. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding KWESST Micro Systems are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, KWESST Micro is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally KWESST Micro Systems has an alpha of 0.2536, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KWESST Micro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KWESST Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWESST Micro Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KWESST Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KWESST Micro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KWESST Micro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KWESST Micro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KWESST Micro Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KWESST Micro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0019 |
KWESST Micro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KWESST Micro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KWESST Micro Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KWESST Micro Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 184.78 K. | |
| KWESST Micro generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: KWESST Micro Systems files to sell 8.5M common shares for holders |
KWESST Micro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KWESST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KWESST Micro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KWESST Micro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 M |
KWESST Micro Technical Analysis
KWESST Micro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KWESST Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KWESST Micro Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing KWESST Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KWESST Micro Predictive Forecast Models
KWESST Micro's time-series forecasting models is one of many KWESST Micro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KWESST Micro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KWESST Micro Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about KWESST Micro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KWESST Micro Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KWESST Micro Systems had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.31 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 184.78 K. | |
| KWESST Micro generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| KWESST Micro Systems has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: KWESST Micro Systems files to sell 8.5M common shares for holders |
Check out KWESST Micro Backtesting, KWESST Micro Valuation, KWESST Micro Correlation, KWESST Micro Hype Analysis, KWESST Micro Volatility, KWESST Micro History as well as KWESST Micro Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KWESST Micro. If investors know KWESST will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KWESST Micro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.22) | Revenue Per Share 2.384 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.193 | Return On Assets (0.78) | Return On Equity (2.22) |
The market value of KWESST Micro Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KWESST that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KWESST Micro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KWESST Micro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KWESST Micro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KWESST Micro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KWESST Micro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KWESST Micro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KWESST Micro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.