Kraneshares Csi China Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 20.44
| KWEB Etf | USD 29.94 0.04 0.13% |
KraneShares |
KraneShares CSI Target Price Odds to finish below 20.44
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.44 or more in 90 days |
| 29.94 | 90 days | 20.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares CSI to drop to $ 20.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KraneShares CSI China probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares CSI China price to stay between $ 20.44 and its current price of $29.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KraneShares CSI has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KraneShares CSI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KraneShares CSI China will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KraneShares CSI China has an alpha of 0.2226, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares CSI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares CSI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares CSI China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares CSI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KraneShares CSI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares CSI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares CSI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares CSI China, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares CSI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
KraneShares CSI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KraneShares CSI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KraneShares CSI China can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KraneShares CSI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Texas Governor Mandates State Agencies To Divest From China Will Defend And Safeguard Itself...From Any Potential Threat | |
| This fund created-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| KraneShares CSI maintains 99.96% of its assets in stocks |
KraneShares CSI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares CSI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares CSI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
KraneShares CSI Technical Analysis
KraneShares CSI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares CSI China. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares CSI Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares CSI's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares CSI's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares CSI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KraneShares CSI China
Checking the ongoing alerts about KraneShares CSI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KraneShares CSI China help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KraneShares CSI had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Texas Governor Mandates State Agencies To Divest From China Will Defend And Safeguard Itself...From Any Potential Threat | |
| This fund created-1.0 ten year return of -1.0% | |
| KraneShares CSI maintains 99.96% of its assets in stocks |
Check out KraneShares CSI Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares CSI Correlation, KraneShares CSI Hype Analysis, KraneShares CSI Volatility, KraneShares CSI History as well as KraneShares CSI Performance. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
The market value of KraneShares CSI China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares CSI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares CSI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares CSI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares CSI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares CSI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares CSI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares CSI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.