KWS SAAT (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 58.39
| KWS Stock | EUR 59.90 1.30 2.22% |
KWS |
KWS SAAT Target Price Odds to finish below 58.39
The tendency of KWS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 58.39 or more in 90 days |
| 59.90 | 90 days | 58.39 | roughly 2.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KWS SAAT to drop to € 58.39 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.47 (This KWS SAAT SE probability density function shows the probability of KWS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KWS SAAT SE price to stay between € 58.39 and its current price of €59.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KWS SAAT SE has a beta of -0.66. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KWS SAAT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KWS SAAT SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KWS SAAT SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KWS SAAT Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KWS SAAT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWS SAAT SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KWS SAAT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KWS SAAT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KWS SAAT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KWS SAAT SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KWS SAAT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
KWS SAAT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KWS SAAT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KWS SAAT SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KWS SAAT SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
KWS SAAT Technical Analysis
KWS SAAT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KWS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KWS SAAT SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing KWS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KWS SAAT Predictive Forecast Models
KWS SAAT's time-series forecasting models is one of many KWS SAAT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KWS SAAT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KWS SAAT SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about KWS SAAT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KWS SAAT SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KWS SAAT SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in KWS Stock
KWS SAAT financial ratios help investors to determine whether KWS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KWS with respect to the benefits of owning KWS SAAT security.