Lancaster Colony Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 187.47
| LANC Stock | USD 185.84 0.21 0.11% |
Lancaster |
Lancaster Colony Target Price Odds to finish below 187.47
The tendency of Lancaster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 187.47 after 90 days |
| 185.84 | 90 days | 187.47 | about 86.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lancaster Colony to stay under $ 187.47 after 90 days from now is about 86.38 (This Lancaster Colony probability density function shows the probability of Lancaster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lancaster Colony price to stay between its current price of $ 185.84 and $ 187.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lancaster Colony has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Lancaster Colony market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lancaster Colony is expected to follow. Additionally Lancaster Colony has an alpha of 0.0597, implying that it can generate a 0.0597 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lancaster Colony Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lancaster Colony
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lancaster Colony. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lancaster Colony Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lancaster Colony is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lancaster Colony's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lancaster Colony, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lancaster Colony within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Lancaster Colony Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lancaster Colony for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lancaster Colony can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lancaster Colony has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Man faces life in prison for the killing of four adults in Lancaster and setting the house on fire |
Lancaster Colony Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lancaster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lancaster Colony's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lancaster Colony's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163.4 M |
Lancaster Colony Technical Analysis
Lancaster Colony's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lancaster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lancaster Colony. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lancaster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lancaster Colony Predictive Forecast Models
Lancaster Colony's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lancaster Colony's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lancaster Colony's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lancaster Colony
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lancaster Colony for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lancaster Colony help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lancaster Colony has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: Man faces life in prison for the killing of four adults in Lancaster and setting the house on fire |
Check out Lancaster Colony Backtesting, Lancaster Colony Valuation, Lancaster Colony Correlation, Lancaster Colony Hype Analysis, Lancaster Colony Volatility, Lancaster Colony History as well as Lancaster Colony Performance. For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | Dividend Share 3.6 | Earnings Share 5.79 | Revenue Per Share 68.39 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.