Lancaster Colony Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LANC Stock  USD 188.64  2.26  1.21%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lancaster Colony is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lancaster Colony buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LANC positions.
  
Check out Lancaster Colony Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lancaster and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lancaster Colony. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Lancaster Colony Buy or Sell Advice

The Lancaster recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lancaster Colony. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lancaster Colony or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lancaster Colony's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lancaster ColonyBuy Lancaster Colony
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lancaster Colony has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0665, Jensen Alpha of 0.0093, Total Risk Alpha of (0.14), Sortino Ratio of 9.0E-4 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1308
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Lancaster Colony to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lancaster Colony. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Lancaster Colony is not overpriced, please verify all Lancaster Colony fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Lancaster Colony has a price to earning of 61.81 X, we recommend you to check Lancaster Colony market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lancaster Colony Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 30th of September 2024 Lancaster Colony paid $ 0.9 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from aol.com: A grisly discovery in a burning Lancaster home 19-year-old arrested in fatal shooting of 4

Lancaster Colony Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lancaster Colony's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lancaster Colony's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lancaster Colony daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lancaster Colony price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lancaster Colony returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lancaster Colony.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2.05
Potential Upside
3.43
Standard Deviation
1.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lancaster Colony historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lancaster Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-09-30
400.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
344.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
280.8 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
273.5 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
264.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
261.2 K
Btim Corp2024-09-30
253.2 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
241.6 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-09-30
222.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Note, although Lancaster Colony's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lancaster Colony Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory1.0M(36.8M)(22.8M)(13.6M)(15.0M)(14.2M)
Change In Cash2.0M(10.2M)(127.8M)28.2M75.0M78.7M
Free Cash Flow88.1M86.3M(30.2M)135.7M184.0M193.2M
Depreciation38.0M44.5M45.9M51.2M55.9M31.7M
Other Non Cash Items(274K)(4.6M)28.1M24.8M14.1M14.8M
Dividends Paid75.6M81.2M86.8M92.4M97.9M53.1M
Capital Expenditures82.6M87.9M132.0M90.2M67.6M41.6M
Net Income137.0M142.3M89.6M111.3M158.6M98.1M
End Period Cash Flow198.3M188.1M60.3M88.5M163.4M93.3M
Change Receivables(10.9M)(11.3M)(37.6M)20.5M18.5M19.4M
Change To Netincome17.2M7.2M39.9M43.3M49.8M52.3M
Investments(83.3M)(89.0M)(132.2M)(90.8M)(67.4M)(70.8M)

Lancaster Colony Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lancaster Colony or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lancaster Colony's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lancaster stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.0009

Lancaster Colony Volatility Alert

Lancaster Colony has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 3.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lancaster Colony's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lancaster Colony's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lancaster Colony Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lancaster Colony's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lancaster Colony's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lancaster Colony and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lancaster Colony or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lancaster Colony's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lancaster Colony by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lancaster Colony to competition
FundamentalsLancaster ColonyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.04 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders29.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.89 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted478.58 K4.71 M
Price To Earning61.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.74 X11.42 X
Revenue1.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit388.57 M27.38 B
EBITDA272.73 M3.9 B
Net Income158.61 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents60.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt57.67 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share34.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations251.55 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.80 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth8.47 X4.89 X
Target Price196.4
Number Of Employees3.4 K18.84 K
Beta0.36-0.15
Market Capitalization5.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.56 B9.33 B
Working Capital260.02 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1207 shares by Kristin Bird of Lancaster Colony at 192.66 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lancaster Colony Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lancaster . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lancaster Colony Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lancaster Colony? Buying financial instruments such as Lancaster Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lancaster Colony in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Large Value Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Value Funds
Large Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Lancaster Colony offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lancaster Colony's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lancaster Colony Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lancaster Colony Stock:
Check out Lancaster Colony Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Lancaster Stock refer to our How to Trade Lancaster Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lancaster Colony. If investors know Lancaster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lancaster Colony listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.043
Dividend Share
3.6
Earnings Share
5.8
Revenue Per Share
68.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.202
The market value of Lancaster Colony is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lancaster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lancaster Colony's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lancaster Colony's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lancaster Colony's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lancaster Colony's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lancaster Colony's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lancaster Colony is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lancaster Colony's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.