Gladstone Land Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.69
| LAND Stock | USD 12.01 0.06 0.50% |
Closest to current price Gladstone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Gladstone |
Gladstone Land Target Price Odds to finish below 10.69
The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.69 or more in 90 days |
| 12.01 | 90 days | 10.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Land to drop to $ 10.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Land probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Land price to stay between $ 10.69 and its current price of $12.01 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gladstone Land has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Land will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Land has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gladstone Land Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Land Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Land, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Gladstone Land Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gladstone Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gladstone Land has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0467 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Acquires Pyrotek Special Effects |
Gladstone Land Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.6 M |
Gladstone Land Technical Analysis
Gladstone Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Land. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gladstone Land Predictive Forecast Models
Gladstone Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gladstone Land
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gladstone Land generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gladstone Land has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0467 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gladstone Investment Corporation Acquires Pyrotek Special Effects |
Check out Gladstone Land Backtesting, Gladstone Land Valuation, Gladstone Land Correlation, Gladstone Land Hype Analysis, Gladstone Land Volatility, Gladstone Land History as well as Gladstone Land Performance. For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Land. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Land listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.559 | Earnings Share (0.26) | Revenue Per Share 2.468 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0151 |
The market value of Gladstone Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Land's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Land's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Land's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Land's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Land is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.