Gladstone Land Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LAND Stock  USD 12.05  0.23  1.95%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 12.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.33. Gladstone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gladstone Land stock prices and determine the direction of Gladstone Land's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gladstone Land's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Gladstone Land's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 37.5 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (12.8 M).
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Gladstone Land is based on a synthetically constructed Gladstone Landdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Gladstone Land 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Gladstone Land on the next trading day is expected to be 12.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gladstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gladstone Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gladstone Land Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gladstone Land Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gladstone Land's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gladstone Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.31 and 13.95, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.05
12.63
Expected Value
13.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gladstone Land stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gladstone Land stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.1834
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4205
MADMean absolute deviation0.447
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0355
SAESum of the absolute errors18.3275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Gladstone Land 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5311.8213.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2310.5213.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.4412.7214.01
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.3819.1021.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gladstone Land

For every potential investor in Gladstone, whether a beginner or expert, Gladstone Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gladstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gladstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gladstone Land's price trends.

Gladstone Land Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gladstone Land stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gladstone Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gladstone Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gladstone Land Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gladstone Land's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gladstone Land's current price.

Gladstone Land Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gladstone Land stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gladstone Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gladstone Land stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gladstone Land entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gladstone Land Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gladstone Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gladstone Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gladstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Gladstone Land is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gladstone Land's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gladstone Land's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gladstone Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gladstone Land to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Land. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Land listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.559
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
2.468
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0151
The market value of Gladstone Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Land's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Land's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Land's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Land's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Land is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.