Gladstone Land Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 18.59

LANDP Preferred Stock  USD 21.71  0.28  1.27%   
Gladstone Land's future price is the expected price of Gladstone Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gladstone Land performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gladstone Land Backtesting, Gladstone Land Valuation, Gladstone Land Correlation, Gladstone Land Hype Analysis, Gladstone Land Volatility, Gladstone Land History as well as Gladstone Land Performance.
To learn how to invest in Gladstone Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in Gladstone Land guide.
  
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Gladstone Land Target Price Odds to finish below 18.59

The tendency of Gladstone Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.59  or more in 90 days
 21.71 90 days 18.59 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Land to drop to $ 18.59  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gladstone Land probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Land price to stay between $ 18.59  and its current price of $21.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gladstone Land has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Land will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Land has an alpha of 0.065, implying that it can generate a 0.065 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gladstone Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gladstone Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7821.7122.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6721.6022.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8921.8222.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9921.6622.34
Details

Gladstone Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Land, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Gladstone Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Land can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Land has accumulated 574.11 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.68, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gladstone Land has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gladstone Land until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gladstone Land's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gladstone Land sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gladstone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gladstone Land's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Gladstone Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.6 M

Gladstone Land Technical Analysis

Gladstone Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Land. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gladstone Land Predictive Forecast Models

Gladstone Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Land's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gladstone Land

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Land help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Land has accumulated 574.11 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.68, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gladstone Land has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gladstone Land until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gladstone Land's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gladstone Land sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gladstone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gladstone Land's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Gladstone Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Gladstone Land's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Land is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.