LBC Express (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.66
| LBC Stock | 11.10 0.44 3.81% |
LBC |
LBC Express Target Price Odds to finish over 10.66
The tendency of LBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 10.66 in 90 days |
| 11.10 | 90 days | 10.66 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LBC Express to stay above 10.66 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This LBC Express Holdings probability density function shows the probability of LBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LBC Express Holdings price to stay between 10.66 and its current price of 11.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LBC Express Holdings has a beta of -1.6. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding LBC Express Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, LBC Express is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally LBC Express Holdings has an alpha of 0.1381, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LBC Express Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LBC Express
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LBC Express Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LBC Express Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LBC Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LBC Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LBC Express Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LBC Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
LBC Express Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LBC Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LBC Express Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LBC Express Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (691.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LBC Express Holdings has accumulated about 8.81 M in cash with (446.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
LBC Express Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LBC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LBC Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LBC Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 5.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B |
LBC Express Technical Analysis
LBC Express' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LBC Express Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing LBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LBC Express Predictive Forecast Models
LBC Express' time-series forecasting models is one of many LBC Express' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LBC Express' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LBC Express Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about LBC Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LBC Express Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LBC Express Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (691.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LBC Express Holdings has accumulated about 8.81 M in cash with (446.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in LBC Stock
LBC Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether LBC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LBC with respect to the benefits of owning LBC Express security.