Thrivent Limited Maturity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.10

LBLAX Fund  USD 12.42  0.01  0.08%   
Thrivent Limited's future price is the expected price of Thrivent Limited instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thrivent Limited Maturity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thrivent Limited Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thrivent Limited Correlation, Thrivent Limited Hype Analysis, Thrivent Limited Volatility, Thrivent Limited History as well as Thrivent Limited Performance.
  
Please specify Thrivent Limited's target price for which you would like Thrivent Limited odds to be computed.

Thrivent Limited Target Price Odds to finish below 12.10

The tendency of Thrivent Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.10  or more in 90 days
 12.42 90 days 12.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thrivent Limited to drop to $ 12.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Thrivent Limited Maturity probability density function shows the probability of Thrivent Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thrivent Limited Maturity price to stay between $ 12.10  and its current price of $12.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thrivent Limited Maturity has a beta of -0.0048. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Thrivent Limited are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Thrivent Limited Maturity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Thrivent Limited Maturity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thrivent Limited Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thrivent Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thrivent Limited Maturity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3312.4312.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2012.3013.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3412.4512.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3812.4112.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thrivent Limited. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thrivent Limited's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thrivent Limited's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thrivent Limited Maturity.

Thrivent Limited Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thrivent Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thrivent Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thrivent Limited Maturity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thrivent Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0056
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0048
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -1.41

Thrivent Limited Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thrivent Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thrivent Limited Maturity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.67% of its assets in cash

Thrivent Limited Technical Analysis

Thrivent Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thrivent Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thrivent Limited Maturity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thrivent Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thrivent Limited Predictive Forecast Models

Thrivent Limited's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thrivent Limited's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thrivent Limited's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thrivent Limited Maturity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thrivent Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thrivent Limited Maturity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.67% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund

Thrivent Limited financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Limited security.
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