Liberty Northwest Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 2.49
| LBNW Stock | USD 5.40 0.00 0.00% |
Liberty |
Liberty Northwest Target Price Odds to finish below 2.49
The tendency of Liberty OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.49 or more in 90 days |
| 5.40 | 90 days | 2.49 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Northwest to drop to $ 2.49 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Liberty Northwest Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Liberty OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liberty Northwest Bancorp price to stay between $ 2.49 and its current price of $5.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Liberty Northwest has a beta of 0.0827. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Liberty Northwest average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Liberty Northwest Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Liberty Northwest Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0415, implying that it can generate a 0.0415 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Northwest Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Liberty Northwest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Northwest Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liberty Northwest Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Northwest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Northwest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Northwest Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Northwest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Liberty Northwest Technical Analysis
Liberty Northwest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Northwest Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Northwest Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Northwest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Northwest's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Northwest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Liberty Northwest in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Liberty Northwest's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Liberty Northwest options trading.
Additional Tools for Liberty OTC Stock Analysis
When running Liberty Northwest's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Northwest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Northwest is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Northwest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Northwest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Northwest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Northwest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.