Liberty Northwest Bancorp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 9.54

LBNW Stock  USD 5.20  0.10  1.96%   
Liberty Northwest's future price is the expected price of Liberty Northwest instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liberty Northwest Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Liberty Northwest Backtesting, Liberty Northwest Valuation, Liberty Northwest Correlation, Liberty Northwest Hype Analysis, Liberty Northwest Volatility, Liberty Northwest History as well as Liberty Northwest Performance.
  
Please specify Liberty Northwest's target price for which you would like Liberty Northwest odds to be computed.

Liberty Northwest Target Price Odds to finish over 9.54

The tendency of Liberty OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.54  or more in 90 days
 5.20 90 days 9.54 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Northwest to move over $ 9.54  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Liberty Northwest Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Liberty OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liberty Northwest Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 5.20  and $ 9.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Liberty Northwest Bancorp has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liberty Northwest are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liberty Northwest Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liberty Northwest Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Liberty Northwest Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liberty Northwest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Northwest Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.725.206.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.364.846.32
Details

Liberty Northwest Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Northwest is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Northwest's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Northwest Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Northwest within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Liberty Northwest Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Northwest for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Northwest Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liberty Northwest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Liberty Northwest Technical Analysis

Liberty Northwest's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Northwest Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liberty Northwest Predictive Forecast Models

Liberty Northwest's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Northwest's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Northwest's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liberty Northwest Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Northwest for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Northwest Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liberty Northwest generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Liberty OTC Stock Analysis

When running Liberty Northwest's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Northwest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Northwest is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Northwest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Northwest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Northwest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Northwest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.