Luckin Coffee (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.3
| LC0A Stock | 20.40 1.00 4.67% |
Luckin |
Luckin Coffee Target Price Odds to finish over 20.3
The tendency of Luckin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 20.30 in 90 days |
| 20.40 | 90 days | 20.30 | about 58.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luckin Coffee to stay above 20.30 in 90 days from now is about 58.81 (This Luckin Coffee probability density function shows the probability of Luckin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luckin Coffee price to stay between 20.30 and its current price of 20.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luckin Coffee has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Luckin Coffee average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luckin Coffee will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luckin Coffee has an alpha of 0.2306, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Luckin Coffee Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luckin Coffee
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luckin Coffee. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luckin Coffee Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luckin Coffee is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luckin Coffee's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luckin Coffee, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luckin Coffee within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Luckin Coffee Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luckin Coffee for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luckin Coffee can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luckin Coffee had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Luckin Coffee Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luckin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luckin Coffee's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luckin Coffee's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.9 B |
Luckin Coffee Technical Analysis
Luckin Coffee's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luckin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luckin Coffee. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luckin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luckin Coffee Predictive Forecast Models
Luckin Coffee's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luckin Coffee's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luckin Coffee's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luckin Coffee
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luckin Coffee for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luckin Coffee help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Luckin Coffee had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Luckin Stock Analysis
When running Luckin Coffee's price analysis, check to measure Luckin Coffee's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luckin Coffee is operating at the current time. Most of Luckin Coffee's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luckin Coffee's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luckin Coffee's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luckin Coffee to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.