LIBERTY DEFENSE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.4992
| LD2A Stock | EUR 0.52 0.00 0.00% |
LIBERTY |
LIBERTY DEFENSE Target Price Odds to finish over 0.4992
The tendency of LIBERTY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.50 in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.50 | about 15.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LIBERTY DEFENSE to stay above € 0.50 in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This LIBERTY DEFENSE H probability density function shows the probability of LIBERTY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LIBERTY DEFENSE H price to stay between € 0.50 and its current price of €0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LIBERTY DEFENSE H has a beta of -1.27. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding LIBERTY DEFENSE H are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, LIBERTY DEFENSE is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that LIBERTY DEFENSE H has an alpha of 2.6181, implying that it can generate a 2.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LIBERTY DEFENSE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LIBERTY DEFENSE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIBERTY DEFENSE H. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LIBERTY DEFENSE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LIBERTY DEFENSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LIBERTY DEFENSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LIBERTY DEFENSE H, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LIBERTY DEFENSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
LIBERTY DEFENSE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LIBERTY DEFENSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LIBERTY DEFENSE H can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LIBERTY DEFENSE H is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has accumulated 226.96 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LIBERTY DEFENSE H has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LIBERTY DEFENSE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LIBERTY DEFENSE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LIBERTY DEFENSE H sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LIBERTY to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LIBERTY DEFENSE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has accumulated about 2.71 M in cash with (5.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
LIBERTY DEFENSE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LIBERTY Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LIBERTY DEFENSE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LIBERTY DEFENSE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 113.2 M |
LIBERTY DEFENSE Technical Analysis
LIBERTY DEFENSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LIBERTY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LIBERTY DEFENSE H. In general, you should focus on analyzing LIBERTY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LIBERTY DEFENSE Predictive Forecast Models
LIBERTY DEFENSE's time-series forecasting models is one of many LIBERTY DEFENSE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LIBERTY DEFENSE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LIBERTY DEFENSE H
Checking the ongoing alerts about LIBERTY DEFENSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LIBERTY DEFENSE H help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has accumulated 226.96 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.03, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LIBERTY DEFENSE H has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LIBERTY DEFENSE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LIBERTY DEFENSE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LIBERTY DEFENSE H sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LIBERTY to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LIBERTY DEFENSE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LIBERTY DEFENSE H has accumulated about 2.71 M in cash with (5.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Other Information on Investing in LIBERTY Stock
LIBERTY DEFENSE financial ratios help investors to determine whether LIBERTY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LIBERTY with respect to the benefits of owning LIBERTY DEFENSE security.