Lazard Developing Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.98
| LDMOX Fund | USD 13.98 0.11 0.79% |
Lazard |
Lazard Developing Target Price Odds to finish over 13.98
The tendency of Lazard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.98 | 90 days | 13.98 | about 43.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lazard Developing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 43.56 (This Lazard Developing Markets probability density function shows the probability of Lazard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lazard Developing has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lazard Developing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lazard Developing Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lazard Developing Markets has an alpha of 0.0423, implying that it can generate a 0.0423 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lazard Developing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lazard Developing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Developing Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lazard Developing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lazard Developing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lazard Developing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lazard Developing Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lazard Developing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Lazard Developing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lazard Developing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lazard Developing Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Lazard Developing Markets maintains 98.72% of its assets in stocks |
Lazard Developing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lazard Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lazard Developing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lazard Developing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Lazard Developing Technical Analysis
Lazard Developing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lazard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lazard Developing Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lazard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lazard Developing Predictive Forecast Models
Lazard Developing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lazard Developing's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lazard Developing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lazard Developing Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lazard Developing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lazard Developing Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Lazard Developing Markets maintains 98.72% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Lazard Mutual Fund
Lazard Developing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lazard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lazard with respect to the benefits of owning Lazard Developing security.
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