Leidos Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 114.42

LDOS Stock  USD 165.51  0.82  0.50%   
Leidos Holdings' future price is the expected price of Leidos Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Leidos Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Leidos Holdings Backtesting, Leidos Holdings Valuation, Leidos Holdings Correlation, Leidos Holdings Hype Analysis, Leidos Holdings Volatility, Leidos Holdings History as well as Leidos Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy Leidos Stock please use our How to Invest in Leidos Holdings guide.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 0.95 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.58 in 2024. Please specify Leidos Holdings' target price for which you would like Leidos Holdings odds to be computed.

Leidos Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 114.42

The tendency of Leidos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 114.42  in 90 days
 165.51 90 days 114.42 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leidos Holdings to stay above $ 114.42  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Leidos Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Leidos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leidos Holdings price to stay between $ 114.42  and its current price of $165.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Leidos Holdings has a beta of 0.88. This indicates Leidos Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Leidos Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Leidos Holdings has an alpha of 0.0694, implying that it can generate a 0.0694 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Leidos Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leidos Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leidos Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
162.25164.69167.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.83138.27181.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
136.30138.74141.19
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
103.13113.33125.80
Details

Leidos Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leidos Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leidos Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leidos Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leidos Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
13.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Leidos Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leidos Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leidos Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leidos Holdings currently holds 5.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 79.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of September 2024 Leidos Holdings paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Insider Trading

Leidos Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leidos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138 M
Cash And Short Term Investments777 M

Leidos Holdings Technical Analysis

Leidos Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leidos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leidos Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leidos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Leidos Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Leidos Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leidos Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leidos Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Leidos Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leidos Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leidos Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leidos Holdings currently holds 5.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Leidos Holdings has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Leidos Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 79.0% of Leidos Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of September 2024 Leidos Holdings paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Insider Trading

Additional Tools for Leidos Stock Analysis

When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.