Leidos Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| LDOS Stock | USD 189.59 1.64 0.86% |
Leidos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Leidos Holdings' share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Leidos Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.052 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6833 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.8179 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.3148 | Wall Street Target Price 219 |
Using Leidos Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leidos Holdings from the perspective of Leidos Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Leidos Holdings using Leidos Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Leidos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Leidos Holdings' stock price.
Leidos Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Leidos Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Leidos Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Leidos Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 173.2571 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 2.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 189.3906 |
Leidos Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Leidos Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 189.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.63.Leidos Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Leidos Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Leidos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Leidos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Leidos Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Leidos Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Leidos Holdings.
Leidos Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Leidos Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Leidos Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Leidos Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Leidos Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Leidos Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Leidos Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 189.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.63. Leidos Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 190.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leidos Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Leidos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Leidos Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Leidos Holdings trading at USD 189.59, that is roughly USD 0.0486 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Leidos Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Leidos Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Leidos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Leidos Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Leidos Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Leidos Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Leidos Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Leidos Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Leidos Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Leidos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Leidos Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leidos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leidos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leidos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Leidos Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Leidos Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 189.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 11.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 146.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leidos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leidos Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Leidos Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Leidos Holdings | Leidos Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Leidos Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Leidos Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leidos Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 188.04 and 191.14, respectively. We have considered Leidos Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leidos Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leidos Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8666 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4853 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 146.63 |
Predictive Modules for Leidos Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leidos Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leidos Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leidos Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leidos Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leidos Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leidos Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leidos Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leidos Holdings' historical news coverage. Leidos Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.41 and 192.53, respectively. We have considered Leidos Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leidos Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leidos Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leidos Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leidos Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leidos Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leidos Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.55 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
189.59 | 190.97 | 0.14 |
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Leidos Holdings Hype Timeline
Leidos Holdings is now traded for 189.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Leidos is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 190.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 29.69%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Leidos Holdings is about 2719.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 189.59. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Leidos Holdings was now reported as 38.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. Leidos Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The firm had 405:1000 split on the 30th of September 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leidos Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Leidos Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leidos Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leidos Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Leidos Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leidos Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WIT | Wipro Limited ADR | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.28 | (2.05) | 14.40 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | (1.18) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.42 | (1.92) | 6.31 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | (4.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.31 | (3.34) | 10.15 | |
| GIB | CGI Inc | 0.32 | 12 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 1.97 | (2.15) | 10.29 | |
| IT | Gartner | (5.67) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.48 | (3.83) | 15.43 | |
| TDY | Teledyne Technologies Incorporated | 11.22 | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.02 | 2.15 | (2.03) | 9.84 | |
| HPQ | HP Inc | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.73 | (3.97) | 10.78 | |
| NTAP | NetApp Inc | 0.56 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.31 | (2.89) | 13.30 | |
| FLEX | Flex | (1.20) | 10 per month | 2.59 | (0.01) | 5.23 | (4.13) | 12.35 | |
| ZM | Zoom Video Communications | (0.62) | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.01 | 3.43 | (3.14) | 13.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Leidos Holdings
For every potential investor in Leidos, whether a beginner or expert, Leidos Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leidos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leidos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leidos Holdings' price trends.Leidos Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leidos Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leidos Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leidos Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Leidos Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leidos Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leidos Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leidos Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Leidos Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Leidos Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Leidos Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leidos Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leidos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Leidos Holdings
The number of cover stories for Leidos Holdings depends on current market conditions and Leidos Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leidos Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leidos Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Leidos Holdings Short Properties
Leidos Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leidos Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leidos Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 943 M |
Additional Tools for Leidos Stock Analysis
When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.