Lee Enterprises Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.01
| LEE Stock | USD 16.26 0.40 2.40% |
Lee |
Lee Enterprises Target Price Odds to finish over 11.01
The tendency of Lee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.01 in 90 days |
| 16.26 | 90 days | 11.01 | about 70.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lee Enterprises to stay above $ 11.01 in 90 days from now is about 70.4 (This Lee Enterprises Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Lee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lee Enterprises price to stay between $ 11.01 and its current price of $16.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lee Enterprises has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lee Enterprises average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lee Enterprises Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Lee Enterprises Incorporated has an alpha of 1.0213, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lee Enterprises Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lee Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lee Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lee Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lee Enterprises Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lee Enterprises is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lee Enterprises' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lee Enterprises Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lee Enterprises within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Lee Enterprises Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lee Enterprises for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lee Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lee Enterprises is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lee Enterprises appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lee Enterprises Incorporated has 500.08 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 9.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Lee Enterprises has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Lee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 691.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 445.97 M. | |
| Lee Enterprises Incorporated has about 15.66 M in cash with (2.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.62. | |
| Lee Enterprises has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 36.0% of Lee Enterprises outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Lee steps into footwear through new licensing deal |
Lee Enterprises Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lee Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lee Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.5 M |
Lee Enterprises Technical Analysis
Lee Enterprises' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lee Enterprises Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lee Enterprises Predictive Forecast Models
Lee Enterprises' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lee Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lee Enterprises' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lee Enterprises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lee Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lee Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lee Enterprises is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lee Enterprises appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lee Enterprises Incorporated has 500.08 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 9.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Lee Enterprises has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Lee to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 691.14 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.73 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 445.97 M. | |
| Lee Enterprises Incorporated has about 15.66 M in cash with (2.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.62. | |
| Lee Enterprises has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 36.0% of Lee Enterprises outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Lee steps into footwear through new licensing deal |
Check out Lee Enterprises Backtesting, Lee Enterprises Valuation, Lee Enterprises Correlation, Lee Enterprises Hype Analysis, Lee Enterprises Volatility, Lee Enterprises History as well as Lee Enterprises Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Publishing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lee Enterprises. If investors know Lee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lee Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share (3.02) | Revenue Per Share 104.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0442 |
The market value of Lee Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lee Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lee Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lee Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lee Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lee Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lee Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lee Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.