Leslies Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.97
| LESL Stock | USD 2.30 0.18 7.26% |
Leslies |
Leslies Target Price Odds to finish over 2.97
The tendency of Leslies Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 2.97 or more in 90 days |
| 2.30 | 90 days | 2.97 | about 27.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leslies to move over $ 2.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.06 (This Leslies probability density function shows the probability of Leslies Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leslies price to stay between its current price of $ 2.30 and $ 2.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Leslies will likely underperform. Additionally Leslies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Leslies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leslies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leslies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leslies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leslies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leslies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leslies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leslies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leslies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Leslies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leslies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leslies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Leslies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Leslies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 673.74 M. | |
| Leslies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Leslies swings to quarterly loss as higher costs drag profits shares tumble 21 |
Leslies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leslies Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leslies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leslies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.5 M |
Leslies Technical Analysis
Leslies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leslies Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leslies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leslies Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leslies Predictive Forecast Models
Leslies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Leslies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leslies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leslies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leslies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leslies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Leslies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Leslies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 673.74 M. | |
| Leslies has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Leslies swings to quarterly loss as higher costs drag profits shares tumble 21 |
Check out Leslies Backtesting, Leslies Valuation, Leslies Correlation, Leslies Hype Analysis, Leslies Volatility, Leslies History as well as Leslies Performance. For more information on how to buy Leslies Stock please use our How to buy in Leslies Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Leslies. If investors know Leslies will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Leslies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 7.396 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0421 |
The market value of Leslies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Leslies that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Leslies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Leslies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Leslies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Leslies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Leslies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leslies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leslies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.