Leslies Stock Performance

LESL Stock  USD 1.55  0.18  10.40%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.47, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Leslies will likely underperform. At this point, Leslies has a negative expected return of -1.15%. Please make sure to verify Leslies' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Leslies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Leslies has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2025-09-29
1
Leslies, Inc. to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2025 Financial Results on December 2, 2025
11/18/2025
2
Leslies targets 7M12M EBITDA boost in 2026 amid store closures and cost cuts
12/03/2025
3
Disposition of tradable shares by Naomi Cramer of Leslies at 2.63 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
4
Leslies Unable To Justify Even Its Current Low Market Cap - Seeking Alpha
12/09/2025
5
Disposition of 132 shares by Benjamin Lindquist of Leslies at 2. subject to Rule 16b-3
12/12/2025
6
Disposition of tradable shares by Benjamin Lindquist of Leslies at 2. subject to Rule 16b-3
12/15/2025
7
Acquisition by Amy College of 8914 shares of Leslies at 1.65 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
8
Leslies Downgraded by Wall Street Zen to Sell
12/29/2025
9
Insider Trading
01/07/2026
10
Morgan Stanley downgrades Leslies stock to Underweight on turnaround concerns - Investing.com
01/15/2026
11
Q3 Earnings Highs And Lows Leslies Vs The Rest Of The Specialty Retail Stocks
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow108.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-25.4 M

Leslies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  352.00  in Leslies on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (197.00) from holding Leslies or give up 55.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. Leslies is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.5131% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 58% of stocks are less volatile than Leslies, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Leslies is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Leslies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Leslies Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.55 90 days 1.55 
about 89.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leslies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.26 (This Leslies probability density function shows the probability of Leslies Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Leslies will likely underperform. Additionally Leslies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Leslies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Leslies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leslies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leslies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.558.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.497.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.417.89
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.656.216.89
Details

Leslies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leslies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leslies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leslies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leslies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Leslies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leslies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leslies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leslies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leslies has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Leslies may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (236.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 439.65 M.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Q3 Earnings Highs And Lows Leslies Vs The Rest Of The Specialty Retail Stocks

Leslies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leslies Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leslies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leslies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments64.3 M

Leslies Fundamentals Growth

Leslies Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Leslies, and Leslies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Leslies Stock performance.

About Leslies Performance

By examining Leslies' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Leslies' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Leslies is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 126.05  84.73 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity(0.17)(0.18)

Things to note about Leslies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Leslies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Leslies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Leslies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Leslies has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Leslies may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.24 B. Net Loss for the year was (236.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 439.65 M.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Q3 Earnings Highs And Lows Leslies Vs The Rest Of The Specialty Retail Stocks
Evaluating Leslies' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Leslies' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Leslies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Leslies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Leslies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Leslies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Leslies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Leslies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Leslies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Leslies' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Leslies' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Leslies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Leslies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Leslies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Leslies Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Leslies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Leslies Stock please use our How to buy in Leslies Stock guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Leslies. Expected growth trajectory for Leslies significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Leslies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Earnings Share
(25.57)
Revenue Per Share
134
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0151
Investors evaluate Leslies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Leslies' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Leslies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Leslies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Leslies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Leslies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.