Land (Thailand) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.08

LH Stock  THB 5.10  0.05  0.97%   
Land's future price is the expected price of Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Land and Houses performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Land Backtesting, Land Valuation, Land Correlation, Land Hype Analysis, Land Volatility, Land History as well as Land Performance.
  
Please specify Land's target price for which you would like Land odds to be computed.

Land Target Price Odds to finish below 2.08

The tendency of Land Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.08  or more in 90 days
 5.10 90 days 2.08 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Land to drop to  2.08  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Land and Houses probability density function shows the probability of Land Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Land and Houses price to stay between  2.08  and its current price of 5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Land has a beta of 0.0589. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Land average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Land and Houses will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Land and Houses has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Land and Houses. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.295.157.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.694.556.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.265.116.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.925.606.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Land. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Land's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Land's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Land and Houses.

Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Land and Houses, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Land and Houses can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Land and Houses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Land and Houses has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Land Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 B

Land Technical Analysis

Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Land Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Land and Houses. In general, you should focus on analyzing Land Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Land Predictive Forecast Models

Land's time-series forecasting models is one of many Land's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Land's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Land and Houses

Checking the ongoing alerts about Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Land and Houses help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Land and Houses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Land and Houses has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Land Stock

Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Land Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Land with respect to the benefits of owning Land security.