Lindblad Expeditions (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.62
| LI4 Stock | EUR 11.80 0.20 1.67% |
Lindblad |
Lindblad Expeditions Target Price Odds to finish below 10.62
The tendency of Lindblad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 10.62 or more in 90 days |
| 11.80 | 90 days | 10.62 | about 73.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lindblad Expeditions to drop to € 10.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.29 (This Lindblad Expeditions Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lindblad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lindblad Expeditions price to stay between € 10.62 and its current price of €11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lindblad Expeditions will likely underperform. Additionally Lindblad Expeditions Holdings has an alpha of 0.2834, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lindblad Expeditions Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lindblad Expeditions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lindblad Expeditions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lindblad Expeditions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lindblad Expeditions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lindblad Expeditions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lindblad Expeditions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Lindblad Expeditions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lindblad Expeditions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lindblad Expeditions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lindblad Expeditions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lindblad Expeditions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lindblad Expeditions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 421.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.28 M. | |
| Lindblad Expeditions Holdings has accumulated about 163.94 M in cash with (2.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.27. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Lindblad Expeditions Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lindblad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lindblad Expeditions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lindblad Expeditions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.1 M |
Lindblad Expeditions Technical Analysis
Lindblad Expeditions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lindblad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lindblad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lindblad Expeditions Predictive Forecast Models
Lindblad Expeditions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lindblad Expeditions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lindblad Expeditions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lindblad Expeditions
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lindblad Expeditions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lindblad Expeditions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lindblad Expeditions is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lindblad Expeditions appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Lindblad Expeditions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 421.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.28 M. | |
| Lindblad Expeditions Holdings has accumulated about 163.94 M in cash with (2.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.27. | |
| Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lindblad Stock
When determining whether Lindblad Expeditions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lindblad Expeditions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lindblad Expeditions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lindblad Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Lindblad Expeditions Backtesting, Lindblad Expeditions Valuation, Lindblad Expeditions Correlation, Lindblad Expeditions Hype Analysis, Lindblad Expeditions Volatility, Lindblad Expeditions History as well as Lindblad Expeditions Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.