Livechain Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.005105
| LICH Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 4.11% |
LiveChain |
LiveChain Target Price Odds to finish below 0.005105
The tendency of LiveChain Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 51.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LiveChain to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 51.47 (This LiveChain probability density function shows the probability of LiveChain Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LiveChain price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.007 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LiveChain has a beta of -4.51. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding LiveChain are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, LiveChain is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that LiveChain has an alpha of 14.0844, implying that it can generate a 14.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LiveChain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LiveChain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LiveChain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LiveChain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LiveChain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LiveChain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LiveChain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LiveChain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LiveChain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 14.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -4.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
LiveChain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LiveChain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LiveChain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LiveChain is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LiveChain has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LiveChain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LiveChain has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LiveChain currently holds 308.32 K in liabilities. LiveChain has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist LiveChain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LiveChain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LiveChain sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LiveChain to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LiveChain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (794.5 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LiveChain currently holds about 16.16 K in cash with (1.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
LiveChain Technical Analysis
LiveChain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LiveChain Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LiveChain. In general, you should focus on analyzing LiveChain Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LiveChain Predictive Forecast Models
LiveChain's time-series forecasting models is one of many LiveChain's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LiveChain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LiveChain
Checking the ongoing alerts about LiveChain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LiveChain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LiveChain is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| LiveChain has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| LiveChain appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| LiveChain has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| LiveChain currently holds 308.32 K in liabilities. LiveChain has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist LiveChain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LiveChain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LiveChain sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LiveChain to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LiveChain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (794.5 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| LiveChain currently holds about 16.16 K in cash with (1.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in LiveChain Pink Sheet
LiveChain financial ratios help investors to determine whether LiveChain Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LiveChain with respect to the benefits of owning LiveChain security.